3.25.2026

Our Favorite Red Flags in an Acquisition

If you shop for companies the way some people browse vintage shops, you know the thrill of finding a gem and the dread of realizing it is costume jewelry. The smartest favor you can do for your future self is to polish your diligence lens until it sees through sparkle. 

We buy with clear criteria and a plainspoken checklist, because confusion is expensive and surprise is rarely the good kind. As a holding company we look for patterns that repeat, then we walk when too many of them rhyme for the wrong reasons.

The Numbers That Refuse To Behave

Imaginary Precision

Financials that look squeaky clean on the surface but wobble under a calculator are classic trouble. Margins that round to the same whole number every month suggest the spreadsheet has been cuddled. When accruals drift without an audit trail, or when revenue gets booked before delivery under the banner of optimism, that optimism will return later as cash shortfalls. Healthy numbers breathe, vary, and reconcile.

Revenue That Comes From One Basket

Customer concentration is the corporate version of a single point of failure. If one client pays half the bills, you are not buying a business, you are buying a relationship with someone who is not obligated to like you. When that client has a sweetheart discount or is mid renewal, your model belongs in pencil.

Growth With No Gravity

Skyward charts are adorable until you ask what powered them. Inorganic blips, price hikes that outpaced value, or churn tucked inside net revenue retention can turn a hero story into a balloon without a knot. Trace the engine, separate mix from real demand, and see if cohorts age with grace.

Revenue vs Cash Flow
$0 $1M $2M $3M $4M $5M $6M Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Q6 Reporting Period Dollars (Millions) Gap widens here $1.0M $1.6M $2.6M $3.5M $4.4M $5.2M $0.8M $1.2M $1.6M $1.8M $1.9M $2.1M
Reported revenue
Cash collected
Potential diligence concern
Example takeaway: Revenue appears to scale from $1.0M to $5.2M, but cash collected only rises from $0.8M to $2.1M. That widening spread is the kind of pattern buyers should pressure-test before treating growth as real, durable, and bankable.

People, Process, and Culture

The Genius Owner Problem

We love founders, and we love sleep. A company that runs because one superhero never takes a vacation will steal both. If the owner approves every quote, closes every sale, and keeps the playbook in their head, you are not buying a machine, you are buying lessons you will learn the hard way. Look for standard work and managers who make decisions without permission.

Culture That Nods and Stalls

A brittle culture shows up as polite meetings with no conflict and no follow through. People whisper agreement and then do what they have always done. If incentives celebrate activity instead of outcomes, expect a busy calendar and a quiet bank account. Process should be clear, documented, and boring in the best way.

Talent Gaps at the Worst Altitudes

Mid level leaders who cannot read a P and L or a sales leader who cannot forecast ruin nice models. You do not need a navy of geniuses, but you do need a few people who can steer when the water gets choppy. If titles outnumber responsibilities, the org chart is a costume.

Quality Of Earnings, Not Just Earnings

EBITDA That Melts Under Heat

Adjustments exist for a reason, yet some are fiction. If add backs include normal salaries, recurring marketing, or the entire IT budget labeled as one time, you are looking at earnings that vanish the moment you take the keys. True add backs should be rare and obviously non recurring.

Deferred Maintenance and Other Lumpy Surprises

Capex holidays, delayed hires, and software upgrades that should have happened last year often hide behind tidy profit. The moment you modernize the stack or catch up on repairs, margins revert to their natural state. Model the business as if the adults already showed up.

Working Capital Traps

Companies that collect slowly and pay quickly turn buyers into lenders. If DSO creeps up while inventory looks heroic, you can bet the warehouse is full of hope sizes and discontinued colors. Healthy businesses convert profit to cash with minimal drama.

Quality Of Earnings, Not Just Earnings
Strong diligence looks past headline profit and asks whether earnings are durable, repeatable, and supported by real operating discipline. The goal is to separate healthy cash-generating performance from adjustments, delays, and working capital quirks that make a business look better than it really is.
Red Flag Area What to Look For Why It Matters Example Buyer Concern
EBITDA Add-Backs That Stretch Reality Adjustments that include recurring salaries, normal marketing spend, routine IT costs, or other expenses the business will continue to incur after close. Inflates profitability and makes earnings appear stronger than they will be under ordinary ownership. A seller presents “adjusted EBITDA” that looks attractive until a buyer realizes the add-backs are really just normal operating costs in a nicer outfit.
Recurring Costs Labeled as One-Time Frequent expenses described as unusual, temporary, or non-recurring even though they appear across multiple reporting periods. Suggests the business needs those costs to function, which means future margins will likely be lower than advertised. “Temporary” contractor spend shows up every quarter, making it clear the company has a structural staffing issue rather than a one-off event.
Deferred Maintenance Delayed repairs, overdue system upgrades, postponed hiring, neglected software modernization, or capital improvements pushed into the future. Keeps current margins looking tidy while storing up inevitable catch-up costs for the buyer. The company skipped infrastructure upgrades for two years, so post-close profitability drops the moment the technology bill finally arrives.
Capex Holidays Long periods with unusually low capital spending despite a business model that should require regular investment. Makes earnings look cleaner in the short term while masking the true cost of keeping the business competitive and operational. A manufacturing business posts strong margins, but only because it has not replaced aging equipment that will soon need real money.
Working Capital Traps Slow collections, fast payables, swelling receivables, or inventory levels that outpace real demand. Creates a cash conversion problem where reported profit does not turn into usable cash without extra funding. The company reports solid earnings, but rising DSO means the buyer may need to finance the gap just to keep operations moving.
Inventory That Looks Better on Paper Overstocked, slow-moving, obsolete, or highly seasonal inventory carried at values that assume optimistic sell-through. Can overstate asset quality and understate the cleanup required after close. Warehouses look full and valuable until diligence reveals they are packed with discontinued products and hope-sized assumptions.
Profit That Does Not Convert to Cash A widening gap between reported earnings and cash generation over multiple periods. Signals that earnings may be low quality, poorly collected, or dependent on accounting treatment rather than operating reality. A buyer sees profits rising but cash staying flat, which raises questions about collections, recognition policies, and working capital discipline. Headline profit matters less when the bank balance refuses to join the celebration.
Normalized Margin Reality Check Rebuild the P&L as if normal staffing, maintenance, software, and process discipline were already in place. Gives the buyer a more honest view of what the business earns when run by adults on purpose, not by deferred decisions. After normalizing expenses, the business may still be attractive, but at a very different multiple and with a much more sober integration plan.

Customers, Contracts, and Moats

Sticky or Merely Stuck

A moat is not a long contract with penalties. Real stickiness lives in switching costs that customers would gladly pay to avoid. If migration is easy and comparables are cheaper, the moat is a puddle. Ask what customers would miss tomorrow morning.

Pricing Power That Whispers

If the company has not raised prices in three years and blames the market, the issue is value. Strong products create room to nudge price without panic. Weak products survive by hiding inside bundles and long renewals that nobody wants to reopen.

Contracts With Teeth Pointed at You

Auto renew clauses that lock in discounts, customer friendly SLAs with unlimited credits, or Most Favored Nation clauses provisions that cap your upside take the shine off revenue. The worst flavor is a contract that requires your future consent for any change. You want the freedom to improve without begging.

Technology and Security

A Stack Held Together by Sticky Notes

A modern company that runs on spreadsheets, mystery macros, and one laptop named Server needs more than a handshake. If backups are a rumor and access control is a shared password, you are buying a technology project first and a business second. Tools should be integrated, observable, and replaceable.

Data That Does Not Add Up

When the dashboard says one thing, the CRM says another, and the bank balance chooses a third option, prepare for a long weekend. Without a single source of truth, every meeting turns into a debate about which number is real. Data governance is not glamorous, but it makes money.

Security as a Mood

Security should be a posture, not a poster. If the last penetration test predates the last major release, or if vendor questionnaires are answered with a shrug, assume gaps. Breaches do not send calendar invites. They show up at 3 a.m. with a legal bill.

Integration Readiness

No Plan for Day One

When the seller cannot describe what happens in the first week after close, expect confusion. Payroll, email, and customer communication need names and dates. You do not have to redesign the company on day one, but you do have to keep the lights on.

Metrics Without a Home

If nobody owns the scorecard, nobody owns the results. Decide who watches pipeline, churn, net promoter, cycle times, and cash. A small business does not need a NASA console, it does need a shortlist of numbers that matter.

Change Fatigue Before Change Begins

Teams that twitch at every new idea will not enjoy integration. The way to spot it is small, repeated sarcasm and the phrase this is how we do it here. Healthy teams are curious, even when tired.

How We Use Red Flags

We do not collect red flags because we like saying no. We collect them because they guide better questions that lead to better deals. A single concern is a conversation. A cluster is a map. When more than three clusters overlap, we step back, thank everyone, and pass. 

The point of diligence is to avoid buying problems that do not want to be solved. We prefer deals that look attractive after you subtract luck and soften the forecasts. Clarity beats charisma, so we keep asking until the story and the numbers shake hands. Integration loves simple, well tested plans.

Conclusion

Smart diligence is the art of subtracting wishful thinking until the business that remains is sturdy in daylight and boring on Tuesdays. Red flags aren’t trophies; they’re instructions. If they lead you to tighter questions, cleaner numbers, and simpler plans—and the answers hold—you’ve likely found something that compounds. 

If they stack into a chorus, walk. There will always be another deal; there won’t always be another shot at focus, cash discipline, and a team that can execute without a pep talk. Buy what works on paper and in practice, then let time and operational excellence do the heavy lifting.

Ryan Schwab

Ryan Schwab serves as Chief Revenue Officer at HOLD.co, where he leads all revenue generation, business development, and growth strategy efforts. With a proven track record in scaling technology, media, and services businesses, Ryan focuses on driving top-line performance across HOLD.co’s portfolio through disciplined sales systems, strategic partnerships, and AI-driven marketing automation. Prior to joining HOLD.co, Ryan held senior leadership roles in high-growth companies, where he built and led revenue teams, developed go-to-market strategies, and spearheaded digital transformation initiatives. His approach blends data-driven decision-making with deep market insight to fuel sustainable, scalable growth.

We collaborate with investors, operators, and founders who share our vision for disciplined, scalable growth. Let’s explore how we can build something extraordinary together.
z
z
z
z
i
i
z
z
Your Future Starts With
The Right Partnership.
Tell Us Your Vision. We'll Help You Get There.